La Crema
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 08/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |