Love Her Lots
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 9% | -0.70 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |