Taco Cat Backwards
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |