3

Tour Jete

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 92

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 86 par2/10C6OR 86C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 91 parC6 @ Laurel Park 14/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 95 par14/11C6OR 95C6 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Gulfstream 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 97 par18/01C6OR 97C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 07/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 98 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 94 par28/06C8OR 94C8 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 92 par9/09C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2026-02-07Tampa Bay Downs?8th6th+2
2026-01-18Gulfstream?6th4th+2
2025-12-21Gulfstream?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1021/1228/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20255th40/10%43%+0.43
18/10/20252nd5/287%86%-0.01
14/11/20255th5/174%33%-0.40
21/12/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
18/01/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
07/02/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
28/06/20262nd5/493%75%-0.18
14/08/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
09/09/20265th9/153%43%-0.10