8

Gleaming

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 55

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 11911/02C9C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASSC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 1m 120 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 39 par1/06C9OR 39C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 39 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 51 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 51 par8/07C6OR 51C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 52 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 53 par4/08C9OR 53C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 53 · 1m 120 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 53 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 52 par9/09C9OR 52projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?7th7th0
2026-08-04Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?8th5th+3
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0224/064/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
18/05/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
01/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20266th40/10%29%+0.29
08/07/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
22/07/20268th25/10%0%0.00
04/08/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
26/08/20267th20/10%0%0.00
09/09/20265th20/10%33%+0.33