Loan Me A Dime

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 68

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-08	Presque Isle Downs	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-08-05	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-07-20	Presque Isle Downs	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▬

Strength23%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/07/2026	3rd	1/1	95%	50%	-0.45
05/08/2026	5th	5/2	87%	20%	-0.67
08/09/2026	6th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47