2
R Elliot
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 35
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |