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7

Wetlands Willy

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 65

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS25/06C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 67 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 67 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 65 par6/08C6OR 65C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 65 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 65 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 60 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 60 par2/09C6OR 60C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 55 · 1m 125 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 55 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m70y Fas 125 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 56 par1/07C9OR 56C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 1m 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 59 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 04/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 63 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 63 par4/08C9OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Presque Isle Downs?2nd-1th+3
2026-07-01Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?6th6th0
2025-09-02Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2025-08-20Presque Isle Downs?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0620/081/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20254th13/891%50%-0.41
16/07/20253rd4/179%50%-0.29
06/08/20257th7/163%25%-0.38
20/08/20255th25/10%0%0.00
02/09/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
17/06/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
01/07/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
08/07/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33
04/08/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11