4

Hurricanes Ablowin

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 50 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 50 par25/06C6OR 50C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 57 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 66 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 66 par19/08C5OR 66C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 79 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 81 par16/10C5OR 81C5 @ Churchill Downs 16/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m1f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/11/2025 · OR 85 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 82 par5/02C5OR 82C5 @ Mahoning Valley 06/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 73 par18/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-03-06Mahoning Valley?5th4th+1
2026-02-05Mahoning Valley?2nd1st+1
2025-11-16Churchill Downs?8th7th+1
2025-10-16Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2025-09-08Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/068/095/0218/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength33%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
22/07/20252nd13/266%83%+0.18
19/08/20254th3/184%25%-0.59
08/09/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
16/10/20252nd9/488%80%-0.08
16/11/20258th50/10%0%0.00
05/02/20262nd5/174%75%+0.01
06/03/20265th11/486%20%-0.66
18/09/20266th40/10%29%+0.29