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2

Justice Is Sweet

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 89

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 82 par30/09C5OR 82C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 77 par20/05C5OR 77C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 78 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 78 par2/07C5OR 78C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 82 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 84 par29/07C6OR 84C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 87 par7/09C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-07-29Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?8th8th0
2026-07-02Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/099/0629/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20256th6/168%38%-0.31
16/10/20256th6/168%0%-0.68
20/05/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
09/06/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
02/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
13/07/20268th13/266%0%-0.66
29/07/20263rd14/126%50%+0.24
18/08/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
07/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39