3
Frenchman James
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 63
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |