Go Simple
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 87
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |