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2

Sealand

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 72

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

81%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS13/08C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 58 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 58 par26/08C6OR 58C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 59 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 59 par17/09C6OR 59C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 58 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 58 par3/06C6OR 58C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 57 par24/06C6OR 57C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 62 par22/07C6OR 62C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 66 par26/08C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?1st-1th+2
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?3rd1st+2
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?3rd1st+2
2026-06-03Presque Isle Downs?3rd1st+2
2025-09-17Presque Isle Downs?5th3rd+2
2025-08-26Presque Isle Downs?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/083/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
26/08/20254th6/492%25%-0.67
17/09/20255th15/261%0%-0.61
03/06/20263rd5/287%50%-0.37
24/06/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
22/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
26/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06