Apicturesworth

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 61

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#10

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▬

Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.4

Today:

Class gap: +0.1

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-06	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-08	Charles Town	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-07-23	Colonial Downs	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-06-27	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-06-14	Charles Town	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-29	Charles Town	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/05/2026	4th	9/2	76%	50%	-0.26
29/05/2026	5th	9/2	76%	56%	-0.21
14/06/2026	1st	8/1	58%	100%	+0.42
27/06/2026	3rd	25/1	0%	67%	+0.67
23/07/2026	6th	16/1	16%	44%	+0.29
08/08/2026	7th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
06/09/2026	3rd	20/1	0%	82%	+0.82