11
Golden Dogecoin
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |