6
Gus's Gal
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |