7
Kathlyns Phalanx
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |