Abando
4yo Gelding · 11-7
Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 3 | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 3 | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |