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11

Emmamia

4yo Filly · 11-0

Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y

#9

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held both starts to date and will be better off in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 14612/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 14721/07C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-07-12Sligo?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0721/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +25.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
21/07/202610th200/10%36%+0.36