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Gratitudeforgrace

4yo Filly · 11-0

Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped with more encouragement than in a bumper when beaten 21 lengths on hurdling debut at Wexford (2½m) in late-July, not given anything like a hard time (125/1). Will do better at some stage for Gordon Elliott, probably in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1616/07C?C8 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 14823/07C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Wexford?7th7th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +13.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/202612th20/10%27%+0.27
23/07/20267th125/10%40%+0.40