5

Lucky Signal

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Attracted support when green/well held in a Leopardstown bumper on debut for Eoin Griffin in March. Offered only a little encouragement on hurdling debut at Kilbeggan latest. Direct Approach looks stable's leading hope.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Leopardstown 02/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m Sft 1572/03C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m Goo 1563/09C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?11th11th0
2026-05-09Killarney?0
2026-03-02Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/033/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +81.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/20268th8/158%0%-0.58
03/09/202611th33/10%23%+0.23