14

Neat As A Pin

4yo Filly · 11-0

Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten on completed starts in maiden hurdles. Likely to need time/distance. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 14721/07C8C8 @ Cork 03/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1583/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Cork?8th8th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?12th12th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/073/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +37.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/202612th125/10%21%+0.21
03/08/20268th250/10%59%+0.59