Pallatine Hills
4yo Gelding · 11-7
Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA60 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA62 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA65 | 20th | 18th | +2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA66 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Curragh | BHA69 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | BHA70 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.74 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 35% | -0.12 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 69% | +0.16 |
| 06/08/2026 | 20th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.13 |