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15

Sonas

4yo Filly · 11-0

Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Related to some above-average jumpers. Tongue strap added and showed more than on debut when 18 lengths second of 12 at Wexford (17f). In the mix if progressing again for excellent yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1488/08C8C8 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m190y Gd 14628/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Wexford?2nd2nd0
2026-08-08Wexford?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +97.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
28/08/20262nd28/10%91%+0.91