7
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4yo Gelding · 11-7
Roscommon · Athleague Maiden Hurdle · 1m 7f 135y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -64.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |