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15

Atlantic Wonder

9yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 75

Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who failed to fire last season following a lengthy absence (over fences first 2 starts). Tried in hood (now discarded) after another 3 months off, was pulled up in handicap hurdle at Bellewstown when last seen in April.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA85 @ Ballinrobe 30/05/2023 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 85 · 2m40y Goo 144 · below its mark30/05/2023 · OR 85 par30/0585OR 85BHA84 @ Roscommon 12/06/2023 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 84 · 2m46y Goo 157 · below its mark12/06/2023 · OR 84 parBHA87 @ Wexford 07/07/2023 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 87 · 2m170y Goo 160 · below its mark07/07/2023 · OR 87 par7/0787OR 87BHA87 @ Ballinrobe 25/07/2023 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 87 · 2m1f5y Gd 146 · below its mark25/07/2023 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Sligo 23/08/2023 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 87 · 2m1f93y Goo 153 · below its mark23/08/2023 · OR 87 par23/0887OR 87BHA86 @ Navan 16/09/2023 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 86 · 1m7f120y Yie 154 · below its mark16/09/2023 · OR 86 parBHA88 @ Punchestown 10/10/2023 · Pos 18th of 22 · OR 88 · 2m4f Yie 154 · below its mark10/10/2023 · OR 88 par10/1088OR 88BHA82 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 82 · 2m Hvy 150 · below its mark15/12/2025 · OR 82 parBHA79 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 79 · 2m202y Hvy 149 · below its mark08/01/2026 · OR 79 par8/0179OR 79projClass-projected finish: 16th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-18BellewstownBHA770
2026-01-08ClonmelBHA799th9th0
2025-12-15NaasBHA826th6th0
2025-11-25TramoreBHA820
2023-10-10PunchestownBHA8818th18th0
2023-09-16NavanBHA862nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0525/0710/108/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20236th8/158%64%+0.06
12/06/20232nd15/261%93%+0.32
07/07/202310th13/891%31%-0.61
25/07/20237th9/276%57%-0.19
23/08/202310th12/137%18%-0.19
16/09/20232nd10/147%94%+0.47
10/10/202318th15/261%19%-0.41
15/12/20256th28/10%44%+0.44
08/01/20269th11/142%38%-0.04