2
Colesberg
5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 95
Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | BHA93 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 26/03/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |