3
Cool Summer
6yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 95
Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA89 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA87 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA86 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA88 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Punchestown | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 13/11/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |