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7

Dalmatic

6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 92

Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally off the mark in handicap at Limerick (21f) in December. Bounced back from a lesser effort with 2 in-frame efforts this spring, fourth of 16 at Kilbeggan (25f) in April when last seen. Trip might be on the sharp side after 5 months off. Switches back to cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA88 @ Clonmel 27/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 88 · 3m Hvy 156 · below its mark27/02/2025 · OR 88 par27/0288OR 88BHA88 @ Kilbeggan 25/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 88 · 3m70y Yie 159 · below its mark25/04/2025 · OR 88 parBHA87 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 87 · 1m7f150y Goo 156 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 87 par30/1087OR 87BHA85 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 85 · 3m100y Hvy 153 · below its mark18/11/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 24 · OR 82 · 2m4f Sft 150 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 82 par7/12C8OR 82BHA84 @ Limerick 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 84 · 2m5f80y Sft 152 · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 84 parBHA90 @ Punchestown 12/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f Sft 147 · below its mark12/01/2026 · OR 90 par12/0190OR 90BHA89 @ Limerick 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 89 · 2m6f170y Hvy 157 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 89 parBHA92 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 92 · 3m154y Goo 160 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 92 par24/0492OR 92projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA924th4th0
2026-03-12LimerickBHA892nd2nd0
2026-01-12PunchestownBHA9013th13th0
2025-12-28LimerickBHA841st1st0
2025-12-07Cork?4th4th0
2025-11-18LimerickBHA856th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0218/1112/0124/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20254th14/126%80%+0.54
25/04/20258th20/10%53%+0.53
30/10/202511th25/10%41%+0.41
18/11/20256th12/137%55%+0.18
07/12/20254th18/15%87%+0.82
28/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
12/01/202613th12/137%20%-0.17
12/03/20262nd22/10%93%+0.93
24/04/20264th16/116%80%+0.64