10
Grennanstown Lady
5yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 86
Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA88 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Downpatrick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 19-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 11/04/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 30/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |