6

Inver Bay

7yo Mare · 11-11 · OR 94

Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y

#18

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has had 3 starts in maiden hurdles for this yard, showing a bit more than on stable debut when fifth of 11 at Kilbeggan in July. Made no impression at the same course 25 days ago, but she could yet do better now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Wexford 08/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m160y Goo 1658/08C?C8 @ Sligo 20/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f111y Gd 153C0 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m Goo 16526/09C?C8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 134C8 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Std 13419/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f Std 134C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 22 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1596/06C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 153C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m Goo 1513/09C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?5th5th0
2025-11-26Dundalk?13th13th0
2025-11-19Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-10-24Dundalk?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0824/106/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20257th33/10%33%+0.33
20/08/202514th66/10%13%+0.13
26/09/202512th125/10%27%+0.27
24/10/202514th300/10%0%0.00
19/11/20258th300/10%22%+0.22
26/11/202513th300/10%8%+0.08
06/06/20265th150/10%81%+0.81
10/07/20265th40/10%60%+0.60
03/09/20269th20/10%38%+0.38