11
Nukie's Artic
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 82
Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA82 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Clonmel | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Thurles | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Limerick | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 18-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/04/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |