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Patrick Street

7yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 82

Roscommon · Gary's Gardening Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 1m 7f 135y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran well over hurdles when third of 18 in handicap at Punchestown in May, but was let down by his jumping at Kilbeggan in July. Has made the frame back on the Flat last 2 starts, running well when third of 14 at Punchestown (9f) 13 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA46 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 46 · 1m1f130y Sft 128 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 46 par9/0446OR 46BHA44 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 44 · 1m3f190y Yie 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 44 parBHA81 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 81 · 2m Goo 150 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 81 par13/0581OR 81BHA83 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 83 · 2m6f Goo 155 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 83 parBHA50 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m4f207y Sft 132 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 50 par20/0650OR 50BHA82 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 82 · 2m2f200y Gd 150 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 82 par6 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 50 par8/086OR 506 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m4f15y Goo 138 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 50 parBHA51 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f30y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 51 par15/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15PunchestownBHA513rd3rd0
2026-08-11Hamilton64th4th0
2026-08-08Ayr61st1st0
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA825th5th0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA505th5th0
2026-05-30TramoreBHA836th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0430/058/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength55%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20269th9/276%38%-0.38
25/04/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
13/05/20263rd12/137%88%+0.51
30/05/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
20/06/20265th7/282%69%-0.12
24/07/20265th7/163%73%+0.10
08/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
11/08/20264th15/890%57%-0.33
15/09/20263rd17/255%85%+0.29