12

Bluebell Breeze

4yo Filly · 10-10

Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y

#19

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at temperament when hitting the frame in a couple of bumpers over the summer. Badly hampered/didn't have a cut at her flights when mid-field at Downpatrick (2¼m) on hurdles bow latest, finishing with running left. No sure thing to build on that, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m50y Goo 15930/05C?C0 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15910/07C?C0 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1621/08C?C0 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m140y Goo 16216/08C?C8 @ Downpatrick 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 14918/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Downpatrick?7th7th0
2026-08-16Tramore?4th4th0
2026-08-01Galway?7th7th0
2026-07-10Cork?13th13th0
2026-05-30Tramore?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0510/071/0816/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1922% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +7.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
10/07/202613th7/163%20%-0.43
01/08/20267th100/10%65%+0.65
16/08/20264th14/126%73%+0.46
18/09/20267th16/116%57%+0.41