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Dusky Night

5yo Mare · 10-13

Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y

#17

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stoutly-bred mare. Placed 3 times in points prior to finishing well-held sixth of 13 on hurdling debut at Kilbeggan (2m, 50/1). Probably one for handicaps, for all this longer trip ought to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m26y Goo 1594/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kilbeggan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20266th50/10%58%+0.58