9

I Dont Really Care

5yo Mare · 10-13

Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved on her hurdling debut form when 7¾-length third in a Ballinrobe maiden (2¾m) last time. Needs more again in a stronger race here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 16520/12C?C8 @ Sligo 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f193y Goo 1616/08C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 2m6f61y Gd 15324/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Ballinrobe?3rd3rd0
2026-08-06Sligo?4th4th0
2025-12-20Thurles?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/126/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +34.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/202514th28/10%13%+0.13
06/08/20264th33/10%75%+0.75
24/08/20263rd28/10%82%+0.82