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Kimi De Mai

6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 114

Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ex-French bumper winner. Standout effort over hurdles when third in listed handicap hurdle at Leopardstown in early-February (heavy). Turned over at short odds 4 times in maidens either side of that, though may have held on with better jump at Kilbeggan (2m) latest. The one to beat back over 2½m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Vichy 26/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 142 · HIGHER CLASS26/05C5C8 @ Fairyhouse 11/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m2f85y Yie 1611 @ Cheltenham 13/03/2025 · Pos 14th of 23 · OR - · 2m179y GS 158 · HIGHER CLASS13/031C8 @ Naas 15/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 19 · OR - · 2m Sft 161C8 @ Punchestown 12/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 116 · 2m3f73y Sft 159 · below its mark12/01/2026 · OR 116 par12/01C8OR 1161 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 19 · OR 113 · 2m Hvy 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 113 parC8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 121 · 2m3f Yie 161 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 121 par5/04C8OR 121BHA119 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 119 · 2m175y Goo 155 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 119 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 117 · 2m Goo 159 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 117 par21/08C8OR 117projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?2nd2nd0
2026-08-01GalwayBHA11917th22th−4
2026-04-05Cork?7th7th0
2026-02-01Leopardstown13rd-5th+7
2026-01-12Punchestown?3rd3rd0
2025-12-15Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0515/125/0421/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength78%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20241st6/492%100%+0.08
11/01/20253rd5/696%85%-0.11
13/03/202514th66/10%41%+0.41
15/12/20255th10/147%78%+0.30
12/01/20263rd4/696%85%-0.12
01/02/20263rd25/10%89%+0.89
05/04/20267th4/797%54%-0.43
01/08/202617th6/168%16%-0.53
21/08/20262nd1/195%92%-0.03