15
Rebel Queen
4yo Filly · 10-10 · OR 93
Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y
#10
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |