18
Shadonagh
5yo Mare · 10-13
Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -15.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 31/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |