10

Wicked Pleasure

5yo Mare · 10-13

Roscommon · Kelly Hearing Specialists Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m 4f 48y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-related daughter of Harzand. Shaped with promise in a couple of bumpers on testing ground at Thurles/Gowran last winter. That form has substance and she may well improve on hurdling debut given her pedigree/connections. Interesting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 16520/12C?C0 @ Gowran Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f Hvy 16514/02C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-14Gowran Park?3rd3rd0
2025-12-20Thurles?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1214/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -25.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20253rd7/163%87%+0.24
14/02/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02