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7

Ancient Myth

5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90

Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ridden more positively in first-time blinkers when beaten 6 lengths at Ballinrobe (2¾m) latest, possibly finding his stamina stretched. Back down in trip for only his third handicap start and still on a potentially handy mark given his Flat form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Thirsk 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m4f8y Gd 135 · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 70 par25/075OR 705 @ Thirsk 02/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 1m4f8y Goo 141 · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Thirsk 06/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m4f8y Goo 134 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 76 par6/094OR 764 @ Hamilton 21/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 76 · 1m3f15y Sft 135 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Killarney 09/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 1669/05C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 166C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 24 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1666/06C8BHA92 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 92 · 2m4f85y Goo 160 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 92 parBHA90 @ Ballinrobe 24/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f61y Gd 159 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 90 par24/0890OR 90projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24BallinrobeBHA907th7th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA9210th10th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?13th13th0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-05-09Killarney?12th12th0
2025-09-21Hamilton44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0721/096/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20252nd85/4089%83%-0.05
02/08/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
06/09/20257th4/179%0%-0.79
21/09/20254th9/276%0%-0.76
09/05/202612th50/10%21%+0.21
26/05/202610th150/10%36%+0.36
06/06/202613th100/10%48%+0.48
16/07/202610th14/126%36%+0.09
24/08/20267th18/15%60%+0.55