19
Ballyminnion Boy
6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86
Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y
#19
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | BHA86 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA88 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |