9
Granda George
9yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 89
Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | Listowel | BHA89 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Killarney | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-08-05 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1950% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +14.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/08/2024 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/08/2024 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.77 |