1
Jurality
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA97 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA60 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA62 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | BHA63 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | BHA63 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | BHA57 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/5 | 83% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |