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Kilashee

11yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 91

Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y

#3

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Trailblazer who was successful over hurdles off only 1 lb higher at Galway (soft) last autumn. Hasn't been in much form over fences of late, though, a spent force by 2 out when well-held seventh of 16 in handicap chase at Ballinrobe (23f).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA98 @ Ballinrobe 11/08/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 98 · 2m6f218y Gd 166 · below its mark11/08/2025 · OR 98 par11/0898OR 98BHA97 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 97 · 2m6f61y Goo 163 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 97 parBHA97 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 97 · 2m4f95y Yie 140 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 97 par5/0997OR 97BHA90 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 2m5f146y Goo 140 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 90 parBHA90 @ Galway 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 2m6f60y Yie 140 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 90 par7/1090OR 90BHA99 @ Thurles 30/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 99 · 2m4f Goo 145 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 99 parBHA90 @ Fairyhouse 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 90 · 3m55y Hvy 166 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 90 par21/1190OR 90BHA89 @ Fairyhouse 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 89 · 2m4f100y Yie 140 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 89 parBHA80 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 80 · 2m7f67y Yie 148 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 80 par11/0980OR 80projClass-projected finish: 15th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA807th7th0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA840
2026-06-08RoscommonBHA870
2025-11-29FairyhouseBHA897th7th0
2025-11-21FairyhouseBHA906th6th0
2025-10-30ThurlesBHA9912th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0829/0921/1111/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1956% of fieldRange 9-19 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/202515th10/147%7%-0.41
25/08/20253rd14/126%80%+0.54
05/09/20255th9/276%33%-0.43
29/09/20252nd17/255%88%+0.32
07/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
30/10/202512th8/158%0%-0.58
21/11/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
29/11/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
11/09/20267th11/142%60%+0.18