4

Let Him B
6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95
Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 9.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA96 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA97 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA97 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Limerick | BHA95 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | BHA84 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Huntingdon | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 196% of fieldRange 11-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/01/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/02/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 12/03/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 07/05/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 28/05/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 35% | -0.36 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |