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13

Move It On Over

5yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83

Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Found improvement to open his account on return to handicap/longer trip at Sligo last time (21f), all out to hold on. That form has some substance but will need more again to follow up off his revised mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: BHA74
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 02/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 2m Goo 1612/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 154C8 @ Galway 28/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m130y Gd 15428/07C8BHA79 @ Ballinrobe 11/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 79 · 2m169y Gd 144 · below its mark11/08/2025 · OR 79 parBHA78 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 16th of 20 · OR 78 · 2m1f88y Gd 146 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 78 par4/0578OR 78BHA77 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 77 · 2m4f80y Goo 145 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 parBHA75 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 75 · 3m100y Gd 146 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 75 par15/0675OR 75C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 2m1f89y Gd 153 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 74 parBHA74 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 74 · 2m4f148y Gd 144 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 74 par19/0874OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19SligoBHA741st1st0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?4th4th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?0
2026-06-15KilbegganBHA7512th12th0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA778th8th0
2026-05-04Down RoyalBHA7816th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0611/0815/0619/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/202512th40/10%21%+0.21
07/07/20257th150/10%45%+0.45
28/07/20259th300/10%20%+0.20
11/08/20258th100/10%50%+0.50
04/05/202616th33/10%21%+0.21
30/05/20268th50/10%59%+0.59
15/06/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
21/07/20264th200/10%25%+0.25
19/08/20261st22/10%100%+1.00