14
Stily
6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 81
Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA84 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA85 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | BHA85 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Galway | BHA86 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 13-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 05/08/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.37 |
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.21 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.33 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |