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10

Trackman Tommy

8yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86

Roscommon · Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 4f 48y

#14

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't show much when last seen under Rules for Patrick G. Kelly in December 2024. Won a point in February of this year and market can guide returning to Rules off much-reduced mark for new connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 09/02/2023 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f132y Goo 1689/02C?C8 @ Thurles 13/03/2023 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m98y Sft 158C8 @ Limerick 30/03/2023 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m5f Sft 16630/03C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 14/04/2023 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f98y Sft 158C8 @ Ballinrobe 02/05/2023 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 105 · 2m5f30y Goo 158 · below its mark02/05/2023 · OR 105 par2/05C8OR 105C8 @ Limerick 21/11/2023 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 104 · 2m3f Hvy 166 · below its mark21/11/2023 · OR 104 parBHA102 @ Limerick 27/12/2023 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 102 · 2m4f Hvy 154 · below its mark27/12/2023 · OR 102 par27/12102OR 102C8 @ Punchestown 15/01/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 99 · 2m4f73y Sft 158 · below its mark15/01/2024 · OR 99 parBHA96 @ Ballinrobe 19/04/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 96 · 2m6f91y Sft 159 · below its mark19/04/2024 · OR 96 par19/0496OR 96projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-12-28LimerickBHA950
2024-04-19BallinrobeBHA967th7th0
2024-03-21CorkBHA960
2024-01-15Punchestown?7th7th0
2023-12-27LimerickBHA1029th9th0
2023-11-21Limerick?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0214/0427/1219/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1917% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength21%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/202312th125/10%21%+0.21
13/03/20235th80/10%71%+0.71
30/03/20234th125/10%77%+0.77
14/04/20234th6/168%73%+0.04
02/05/202312th17/255%21%-0.34
21/11/202311th10/147%23%-0.24
27/12/20239th40/10%33%+0.33
15/01/20247th28/10%45%+0.45
19/04/20247th28/10%50%+0.50