10
Starzov
9yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 100
Roscommon · Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle · 3m 25y
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA103 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Roscommon | BHA104 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA104 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Tramore | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2023 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 11/11/2023 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 03/02/2024 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2024 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 17/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 16/05/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/07/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |